Jorgen Moller, Svend-Erik Skaaning
As described by T. H. Marshall sixty years ago, the Western itinerary to modern democracy and the welfare state followed the sequence of civil, political and social citizenship rights. We demonstrate that Marshall's sequence is no longer the prevalent one in the developing and transformation countries of the contemporary era. Instead, political rights are generally at least as effective as civil liberties which are at least as effective as social rights. This new sequencing is attributable to the combination of 'liberal hegemony' and inauspicious structural constraints. More generally, our results suggest that the historical route to liberal democracy and the welfare state - beginning with liberal constitutionalism - is unlikely in today's world.
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