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Resumen de Research note: Recreational trip timing and duration prediction

Atakelty Hailu, Lei Gao

  • This paper presents models that predict two recreational fishing trip parameters: the length of a trip and the timing of a trip within a year. A discrete choice (logit) model - linking the choice of trip timing to calendar events, the demographic characteristics of anglers and the nature of the trip - is estimated econometrically. A Tobit model is used to evaluate the effects on fishing trip length of personal and trip characteristics. The results indicate that timing choice and trip length can be explained well in terms of observable personal and trip variables. Knowledge of these relationships is a useful input to tourism/recreational fishing management, as well as to the development of tourism/fishing activity simulation models.


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