Simulating the 2011 Referendum in New Zealand

• Autores: Mark C. Wilson, Geoffrey Pritchard
• Localización: Parliamentary affairs: A journal of representative politics, ISSN 0031-2290, Vol. 67, Nº 4, 2014, págs. 969-980
• Idioma: inglés
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• Resumen

  • On 26 November 2011, an indicative referendum was held in New Zealand with the aim of gauging public support for a change from the current parliamentary electoral system (mixed member proportional) to one of four alternatives. To understand the consequences (in terms of the seat distribution of parties in Parliament) of a change in electoral system, we created an online simulator several months before the referendum date. Several interesting research issues arose in this work, which in our opinion deserve greater analysis. We describe the assumptions made in order to create such a simulator, and their consequences.