Estudio de los accidentes de tránsito usando modelos de regresión locales para la planificación de la seguridad en el transporte.

• Autores: Vladimir Hernández H., César Fuentes
• Localización: Ciencias Administrativas y Sociales, Handbook T-IV: Congreso Interdisciplinario de Cuerpos Académicos / coord. por David Israel Contreras Medina, Patricia del Carmen Mendoza García, Alejandro Ramírez Barajas, 2014, ISBN 978-607-8324-28-6, págs. 293-305
• Idioma: español
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• Resumen

  • The objective of this paper is to develop a model to estimate traffic accidents at the level of basic geo-statistical areas (ageb) in Ciudad Juarez, Chih. Generation and attraction of trips variables were used with a Geographically Weighted Poisson Regression (GWPR). The GWPR model results show a better fit than the global model. Traffic accidents in Ciudad Juarez indicate the non-stationary state in the relationships between the number of traffic accident and independent variables. With the use of this technique, it is possible to identify intra-urban areas with greater effects on estimates of traffic accidents. Finally, the contributions of this work to issues such as transport planning, urban planning and road-urban security.