Speculative investors and transactions tax: Evidence from the housing market

• Autores: Yuming Fu, Wenlan Qian, Bernard Yeung
• Localización: Management science: journal of the Institute for operations research and the management sciences, ISSN 0025-1909, Vol. 62, Nº. 11, 2016, págs. 3254-3270
• Idioma: inglés
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• Resumen

  • This paper examines the impact of a policy change in transaction tax on speculators. The policy intervention took place in Singapore?s housing market; it effectively raised the transaction cost in a segment favored by short-term speculators. Relative to the unaffected control sample, we find that the rise in transaction cost, equivalent to a two- to three-percentage-point increase in transaction tax, reduced speculative trading in the treatment segment by 75% and raised its price volatility by 18%. It also significantly reduced price informativeness. We further show that the results are likely due to a relatively greater withdrawal by informed speculators than by destabilizing speculators following the transaction cost increase. This paper was accepted by Amit Seru, finance.