Renaud Legaux, Denis Larocque, Sandra Laporte, Soraya Belmati, Thomas Boquet
Abstract This article aims to demonstrate that distribution intermediaries, namely exhibitors, are influenced by critical reviews in their programming decisions after the launch of a movie. More specifically, it tests the effect of critical reviews on the decision of exhibitors to keep or withdraw a movie on their screens from week to week. A unique data set comprising more than 165,000 weekly theater level decisions spanning over a decade is used for the analyses. Exhibitors' decisions are modeled through a discrete time survival model with random effects. Results show that a movie with excellent reviews has more chances to stay longer in a theater when compared to one with poor, fair, or good reviews, even after controlling for the previous week's box office. This finding suggests that a portion of the overall commercial performance usually associated with positive reviews can be attributed to the impact of critics' reviews on exhibitors' decisions to keep the movie on screen for a longer period.
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