Verso nuovi equilibri nel Pacifico occidentale

• Autores: Valdo Ferretti
• Localización: Nuova rivista storica, ISSN 0029-6236, Vol. 103, Nº. 2, 2019, págs. 767-786
• Idioma: italiano
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• Resumen

  • The essay first takes into consideration the shift in the balance of power in the FarEast since the end of the Cold War. It focuses on the changes that have taken place inthe Pacific from the Obama era to the Trump presidency, especially from the point ofview of the so-called “Thucydides” and “Churchill” Traps. Within such a framework,it discusses the core reasons for the rivalry between the Popular Republic of Chinaand the United States, as well as the theory of a clash between the two powers that isimminent and inevitable. In this connection, the essay also examines the role of Japanand the speculation that Japan is going to endeavourto achieve a true rearmament, byrelinquishing the so-called Yoshida doctrine and the pacifism pursued after the PacificWar. The conclusion is that the above speculation is probably far-fetched, despite thefact that Japanese foreign policy is really set on a new course. We can probably expectto see a kind of entente or alliance between the United States and Tokyo, one roughlysimilar to that existing between Washington, Australia and New Zealand since theANZUS treaty of 1951.