Are financial investors prone to exogenous (cricket) sentiments that affects equity investment decision and induces volatility in stock market?
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[1] Shaheed Benazir Bhutto University
Shaheed Benazir Bhutto University
Pakistán
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- Localización: Estudios de economía aplicada, ISSN 1133-3197, ISSN-e 1697-5731, Vol. 38, Nº 2, 2020 (Ejemplar dedicado a: Africa: economic transformations and development challenges)
- Idioma: inglés
- Texto completo no disponible (Saber más ...)
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Resumen
This paper examines the volatility in stock returns due to mood-swings of financial investors affected by the outcome of one-day international (ODI) cricket matches played by Pakistan against cricketing nations. The impact of matches is analyzed on same-day and for next-day volatility in returns by using Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH 1,1) and Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (GJR 1,1) methodology, supported by Engle (arch), L-Jung Q-stats (auto-correlation) and Jarque-Bera (normality) tests. Empirical time-series results show volatility can be predicted through past volatility and can be generalized. The win or loss position of Pakistan in ODI has a significant influence on next day volatility of stock returns. However, GJR analysis provides strong evidence of asymmetric behavior on next day in Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE)-100 index, states bad-news resulting from ODI matches has a significant negative influence on the next-day volatility of stock returns, due to less trading on the subsequent day of the match.
