Territorial planning of rustic land constructions and their adaptation to climate change in the province of Málaga, Spain

• Crespo, Ana ^[3] ; Velázquez, Javier ^[1] ; Herráez, Fernando ^[1] ; Gülçin, Derya ^[4] ; Özcan, Ali Ugur ^[5] ; Hernando, Ana ^[2] ; Castanho, Rui Alexandre ^[6]
  1. [1] Universidad Católica Santa Teresa de Jesús de Ávila

     Universidad Católica Santa Teresa de Jesús de Ávila

     Ávila, España

     
  2. [2] Universidad Politécnica de Madrid

     Universidad Politécnica de Madrid

     Madrid, España

     
  3. [3] Gerencia Territorial del Catastro de Málaga, Calle Compositor Lehmberg Ruiz, 11, Entreplanta 29007, Málaga, Spain
  4. [4] Faculty of Agriculture, Department of Landscape Architecture, Aydın Adnan Menderes University, Aydın 09100, Turkey
  5. [5] Faculty of Forestry, Department of Landscape Architecture, Çankırı Karatekin University, Çankırı 18200, Turkey
  6. [6] Faculty of Applied Sciences, WSB University, 41-300 Dąbrowa Górnicza, Poland

  Mostrar afiliaciones +
• Localización: Land use policy: The International Journal Covering All Aspects of Land Use, ISSN 0264-8377, ISSN-e 1873-5754, Nº. 129, 2023
• Idioma: inglés
• Texto completo no disponible (Saber más ...)
• Resumen

  • Incorporating risk analysis into physical planning is increasingly necessary to anticipate and take appropriate measures to prevent and defend against disasters. This paper extends the concept of carrying capacity by studying two models: an ecosystem-bringing capacity model and a territorial model of construction on rural land. A climate change variable was integrated into both models, and the changes that occurred depending on the emissions scenario and the time horizons were considered for developing the suitability, impact, and risk models. The data obtained in this study give us an idea of the difficulties that may exist in most of the territory for the construction location on rural land. In fact, only 14% of the occupied study area reaches positive values for the carrying capacity of ecosystems; besides, there are no constructions on rural land located on positive values if we include the risks in the planning. Contextually, assigning a value to the comparable carrying capacity, based on a holistic conception of planning and scientific data, can facilitate the decision-making to initiate future studies and work. Moreover, this study enables to anticipate the effects of climate change when drawing up adaptation and mitigation policies, plans, or programs.