Resumen de Estudio de los accidentes de tránsito usando modelos de regresión locales para la planificación de la seguridad en el transporte.
Vladimir Hernández H., César Fuentes
The objective of this paper is to develop a model to estimate traffic accidents at the level of basic geo-statistical areas (ageb) in Ciudad Juarez, Chih. Generation and attraction of trips variables were used with a Geographically Weighted Poisson Regression (GWPR). The GWPR model results show a better fit than the global model. Traffic accidents in Ciudad Juarez indicate the non-stationary state in the relationships between the number of traffic accident and independent variables. With the use of this technique, it is possible to identify intra-urban areas with greater effects on estimates of traffic accidents. Finally, the contributions of this work to issues such as transport planning, urban planning and road-urban security.
