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Complexity and Uncertainty: Problem orAsset in Decision Making of MegaInfrastructure Projects?

    1. [1] University of Amsterdam

      University of Amsterdam

      Países Bajos

  • Localización: International journal of urban and regional research, ISSN 0309-1317, Vol. 37, Nº. 6, 2013, págs. 1984-2000
  • Idioma: inglés
  • Texto completo no disponible (Saber más ...)
  • Resumen
    • How should one cope with complexity and uncertainty in mega infrastructure projects?While rational theories tend to eliminate or reduce these unruly conditions, the authorsof this article are in search of a different approach to deal with the characteristics ofcomplexity and uncertainty proactively. Three theoretical reflections are introducedto explore possible solutions: (1) the change of institutions to address the problem ofexcessively simple structures for making decisions on complex projects; (2) the shapingof a learning environment in order to deal with uncertainty and emergent properties; and(3) balancing the generation and the reduction of a variety of policy options in order toselect a limited number of feasible options and to bridge the strategic exploration andthe operational processes of decision making. Informed by this conceptual thought,concrete pathways are developed and discussed by means of a case study of theconstruction of a high-speed railway line in the Netherlands.


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